By Ian, on June 30th, 2006 This is a draft of the first part of my chapter on the rise of blogging. The book is intended for general readers, not technorati, so bear that in mind. Too technical still? Not technical enough? Just so that the uninitiated can get through this chapter, blog is short for web log. That is, a record of events, thoughts, articles and other items kept in chronological order. The term is also used for online journals, which resemble traditional diaries. Bloggers are the people who keep these logs, and blogging is what they do. The network of blogs, continually referencing each other, linking back and forth between articles, is called, perhaps rather portentously, the blogosphere. Continue reading Draft: intro to blogging By Ian, on June 30th, 2006 Thanks to Drew B for drawing my attention to a fantastic article about blogging in New York magazine. The gist of it is that while blogs can earn money for writers, it’s not very likely. There are a number of issues, but the key is the number of inbound links. A large site with a staff can produce more material than a small, part-time hobby site. Also, they have more readers in the first place. This means a lot of people will read and link to them from their own sites, increasing the large site’s Technorati and Google rankings. The system is thus self-perpetuating and the top 1–2 blogs in every category completely dwarf their smaller competitors. To make things worse, even the larger sites pay peanuts to their writers. Maybe I shouldn’t have booked that holiday in the Maldives after all… Blogs to Riches by Clive Thompson “It’ll be more like the mainstream media, really,†[Elizabeth Spiers] adds. “Blogging is increasingly becoming a survival of the fittest—and that all boils down to who has the best content. The blogs that are going to stand out are the ones who break news and have credibility.†Plus, it can’t hurt that Wall Street scuttlebutt is one of the last truly huge unfilled niches in the Manhattan blogosphere. “This is a business, and we’ll build business infrastructure from the get-go.†The age of the blog moguls is here. For Pete Rojas, blogging paid off handsomely. Last fall, AOL bought Weblogs, Inc., which includes his blog Engadget, for $25 million. “I didn’t intend to become a millionaire,†says Rojas, “but I wound up there anyway.â€
By Ian, on June 29th, 2006 The signs of Web 2.0 are clear. Look for some aspect of community collaboration, of user-generated content, of the ability to customise the content, of a desktop-like application experience. But why exactly should we care? In the words of a BusinessWeek headline on June 5, 2006, why is that “Web 2.0 Has Corporate America Spinningâ€? Users benefit in multiple ways. They are empowered, with an internet that they choose and have, in part, created. The content they read and write is about what interests them rather than what a publisher thinks might interest them. They get cheaper access to applications. They are able to participate in and create a social network with like-minded people that may not exist in their day-to-day lives. Businesses can benefit in similar ways. Many Web 2.0 services have specific business purposes. Startup 37Signals sells online collaboration services specifically designed to allow geographically remote teams to manage projects and agendas. Business documents and handbooks are recreated as Wiki’s (the information structure program used by Wikipedia). BusinessWeek reports that “Dresdner Kleinwort Wasserstein uses a Socialtext wiki instead of e-mail to create meeting agendas and post training videos for new hires. Six months after launching it, traffic on the 2,000-page wiki, used by a quarter of the bank’s workforce, already has surpassed that of the company’s intranetâ€. Maintaining and developing contacts can be achieved through services like LinkedIn (www.linkedin.com, a ‘grown-up’ version of MySpace). Businesses can also add to or replace some of their PR activity with corporate blogs. Erstwhile Microsoft blogger, the gracious and disingenuous Robert Scoble has arguably done more to soften its image than any of their PR activity over the last few years (http://scobleizer.wordpress.com). For publishers, the Web 2.0 approach clearly makes for an attractive business model. Having created a platform like digg.com, ongoing costs are fairly minimal for a news site, with no reporters, no editors, and no production people. They have to pay for the bandwidth and some programmers to tinker with the platform to keep it working satisfactorily. Their revenue comes from targeted avdertising such as Google AdWords (more of which anon) and since we, the users, decide what appears on the front page, these advertisements will be very accurately targeted to what the digg community is interested in. It is not surprising, then, that the promise of a successful Web 2.0 site has the business community excited and that VC funding and angel investment is coming back to the internet. News International’s acquisition of social networking site MySpace for $580mn in July 2005 has been the largest deal so far, but it is one of hundreds of deals.In most cases, the amounts aren’t astounding. Luckily for investors, with the low-cost business models these startups have adopted and users driven as much by word-of-mouth as traditional advertising, there isn’t actually a need for vast amounts of capital in many cases. There’s certainly no return to the frenzy of 2000 when, for example, pets.com, which sold pet food online, raised $82.5mn in an IPO before collapsing nine months later. But they are interesting nonetheless. Communal video sharing site youtube attracted $5mn from Sequoia Capital in October 2005, while digg got $2.8mn. Online calendar service trumba attracted $8mn in November 2005 from three investment companies. Zimbra, an online equivalent to Microsoft Outlook, raised $16mn. Facebook, a college networking site, raised $12.2mn. The list goes on, most amounts are undisclosed, but a glance at the portfolio pages of VC companies like Union Square Ventures, the Omidyar Network and Selby Venture Partners confirms that confidence is high. By Ian, on June 28th, 2006 An amusing tirade against some of the worst failings of some of these Web 2.0 startups. On a related note, I just spoke with Roger Greene, the CEO of Ipswitch, who make the venerable and highly rated FTP client ws_ftp. He told me he thought it was fairly clear that a lot of these companies are launched with the sole intention of being bought up by one of the internet giants. 5 Ways To Make Me Laugh At Your Web 2.0 Company — Business Logs In this fast-paced and synergistic world, buzzwords get the play. Non-technical people start companies and press ridiculous deadlines to their engineers, Web 1.0 burnouts start new companies that are just rehashes of the idea they couldn’t make work in 1999, and the technology you use is more important than the value you provide. Hell, VCs are getting sick of their clients making it big, so they’re starting half-assed “Web 2.0″ companies of their own which are off the map 1 month after beta.
By Ian, on June 28th, 2006 Marc Fawzi criticises digg for creating crowd-as-bull behaviour. When he published a story that reached digg’s front page, he got 33,000 hits to his site in the first 24 hours, becoming the number one site on WordPress for 16 hours. The digg crowd acted like a mob, but not a smart one. Marc’s admiration for “the wisdom of crowds” took a bit of a beating, understandably enough. It’s a good post and great food for thought. In the book, James Surowiecki distinguishes between Information Cascades — where everyone follows everyone else — and properly wise crowds — where everyone thinks independently but the “correct answer” is the median of all their responses. I think digg is arguably susceptible to information cascades — for many users, the only stories they see are already on the front page and thus only news that has already been promoted gets promoted further. This can create some quite bizarre valuations for stories. Evolving Trends — Digg’s Biggest Flaw! This post explains and demonstrates a real flaw in digg’s service model that helps promote hype on the Web, causing a “dumbing down” effect on culture, with serious consequences to society. Having said that, the experimental evidence and logic supplied here apply equally to other Web 2.0 social bookmarking services such as del.icio.us, reddit, and netscape beta.
By Ian, on June 28th, 2006 Paul Graham, one of the most level-headed and insightful commentators on this subject, analyses O’Reilly’s essay (post below) and ends up agreeing that the “2.0″ label is unfortunate since what we’re describing is not so revolutionary after all. It’s more of a question of learning from the mistakes of the past and putting much more focus on users and usability. Web 2.0: Web 2.0 means using the web the way it’s meant to be used. The ‘trends’ we’re seeing now are simply the inherent nature of the web emerging from under the broken models that got imposed on it during the Bubble.
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